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Friday 29 November 2013

"Over-representing parties through the voting system" ...some figures

Following on from the correspondence posted from the Herald
Futures Forum: "Over-representing parties through the voting system"
this set of statistics has just been sent to the FF blog:

Its interesting how [Cllr Twiss] assumes those who didn’t vote would have voted Tory, yet even in his own ward the vast majority didn’t.

In the 2011 local elections there were 5238 electors in Honiton St Pauls, with up to 15714 votes available, there being three candidates.

With a relatively low turnout of 41%, Cllr Twiss received 813 votes and was elected with a very low threshold of 5.2%.

The three Tory Cllrs managed a total 2774 votes, i.e. 17.7%, so the vast majority of the remaining 12914 elector’s votes in the pool didn’t vote Tory.

Compare this with Independent Cllr Giles who received a resounding 20% of the total vote pool in Ottery St Mary Town Ward.

Honiton St Michaels (7) turnout = 41% = 5238 electors  
x3 candidates = 15714 total possible votes to be cast
Mike Allen                  Conservatives                  963      6.1%
Peter Halse                Conservatives                  998      6.4%
Phil Twiss                   Conservatives                  813      5.2%
Tories                                                              2774    17.7% of total votes             
Others: electors who did not vote Conservative = remaining 12940 = 82.3%

Ottery St Mary Town Ward (3) turnout = 50.4% = 3781 electors  
x2 candidates = 7562 total votes
Roger Giles                 Independent                   1546     20%
David Cox                   Conservatives                  628     8.3%


See also these figures from 2009:

Honiton St Michaels By-Election 26 February 2009
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Liberal DemocratMarion Olive63651.1+51.1
ConservativePhillip Twiss60948.9-20.9
Majority272.2
Turnout1,24523.7
Liberal Democrat gain from ConservativeSwing
East Devon local elections - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Lib Dems take by-election - the Devon Week
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