Brexit: and the impacts on agriculture

There have been several pieces on the future of farming of late.

The consultancy Anderson's gives its usual 'AgriBrief' - following on from the PM's Florence Speech - from the Food & Farming Futures blog:

2723: Anderson’s AgriBrief – September 2017
Brexit transition

The UK will be looking for a ‘transition period’ after formal Brexit, for up to two years. During this period, it will continue to have access to EU markets on ‘current terms’, pay into the EU budget, and accept EU rules. After that period, the UK would be looking to agree a bespoke, deep and comprehensive trade agreement with the EU. The UK and EU should also continue to cooperate closely on security issues. This vision was set out by Theresa May in a speech in Florence on the 22nd September. 

F&FF - Technical and Business Information
Brexit Insights - Andersons - The Farm Business Consultants

And another from the Food & Farming Futures blog:

2728: Possible impact of Brexit on UK farming’s bottom line

Average farm profitability could drop from £38,000 to £15,000 a year in the worst case scenario as a result of policy and performance challenges that come from Brexit, modelling work has revealed. beef, lamb and cereals are particularly vulnerable.

F&FF - Technical and Business Information

Also here:

HORIZON MODELLING REPORT ‘BREXIT SCENARIOS: AN IMPACT ASSESSMENT’

Published 11 October 17

Our latest Horizon modelling report ‘Brexit scenarios: An impact assessment’ will be launched today at the Grain Market Outlook conference.

As featured in The Financial Times, it is the most in-depth analysis done anywhere to date on the potential implications for individual UK agricultural sectors of leaving the EU. Covering Beef, Sheep, Pigs, Dairy, Cereals, Potatoes and Horticulture, it analyses how farm incomes will be impacted by changes to the labour force, agricultural policy, regulation and the potential shape of future trade. It also illustrates the potentially severe impact on the bottom line for some farming sectors.

We have will have a joint AHDB and NFU roadshow of regional farmer meetings from Wednesday 18 October to Thursday 2 November, to communicate about Brexit and the Horizon modelling results. 

HORIZON MODELLING REPORT ‘BREXIT SCENARIOS: AN IMPACT ASSESSMENT’


With more here:

Brexit could slash the average British farm’s profit in half

A new report paints a dark picture of the worst case scenario of leaving the European Union – but the message is ‘get fit for the future’.

EU OUT: A farm in Devon mowed with pro-Brexit slogan during the campaign to leave the EU.

The profitability of Britain’s average farm could drop by 61 per cent if circumstances conspire to trigger the bleakest outcome for the UK as it splits with the European Union.

This is the warning issued by the Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board’s (AHDB)Horizon report, Brexit Scenarios: An Impact Assessment.

The levy board’s report charts three possible outcomes of the Brexit process, using modelling to predict how each will impact the Farm Business Income (FBI) across various farming sectors.

Brexit could slash the average British farm's profit in half - New Food Magazine
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