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Saturday, 4 April 2015

Exeter Pound: vote for your favourite designs

The project that is the local currency for Exeter has been featured in this blog:
Futures Forum: An Exeter Pound?
Futures Forum: An Exeter Pound... launch event Weds 24th September
Futures Forum: An Exeter Pound: launch event reports
Futures Forum: The Exeter Pound: "What will it mean for you?"  >>> open meeting: Thursday 26th March

... and there are several fundamental issues at stake:
Futures Forum: An Exeter Pound: "97% Owned": Positive Money campaign film: showing Tues 7th October
Futures Forum: An Exeter Pound: What came first: money or debt? ......... David Graeber's "Debt: The First 5000 Years"
Futures Forum: An Exeter Pound and the Woergl: 'complementary' and 'interest-free' currencies
Futures Forum: An Exeter Pound: the Positive Money campaign comes to Transition Exeter: Thurs 27th November

There is a fantastic new website devoted to the project:
Exeter Pound

There's an exhibition at the Guildhall on Friday 10th and Saturday 11th April:
Exhibition of entries to the Exeter Pound Design Competition | Transition Exeter

And here's a handy guide as to how exactly it would work:

Q&A: Everything you need to know about the Exeter Pound | Exeter Express and Echo

The Exeter Express & Echo is asking readers to vote for the best design:

Vote Now: Choose the design for Exeter’s new pound note


By Exeter Express and Echo | Posted: April 02, 2015




Vote for your favourite Exeter Pound designs £E1

ECHO readers are being asked to pick which designs should feature on the new £E1 note.

Children were invited to submit creative designs for either side of the note, due to be put into circulation this autumn.

Two designs have been shortlisted by judges, with the final choice now down to a public vote. Simply cut out the coupon below and post it or drop if off at the Echo’s new city centre offices in Little Queen Street, or alternatively the Civic Centre in Paris Street. The vote closes at 5pm on Monday, April 12.

The design for a special Rugby World Cup inspired £15 note featuring Jack Nowell has already been revealed in the Echo.

And designs featuring other leading figures from the city will be revealed shortly.

Meanwhile, Exeter City Football Club has agreed to become a partner to Exeter Pound. Discussions have begun to explore how the club will accept the new local currency at St James’s Park.

Gill Westcott, chairman of the board of directors of Exeter Pound, said: “Exeter City Football Club is a key player in the community. We will be delighted if the Exeter Pound can be used at the club.”

Stagecoach has also agreed to become a partner to Exeter Pound. Parallel discussions have opened as to how people might pay for their bus fares in Exeter Pounds.

Martyn Goss, director of Exeter Pound, said after the initial meeting with Stagecoach: “Exeter Pound is delighted to be developing a partnership with Stagecoach South West. If local people are able to spend Exeter Pounds for travelling as well as leisure, it will be of significant benefit to the city and its communities.”

Daniel Hillier, director of Exeter Pound and vice-chairman of the Exeter branch of the Federation of Small Businesses, said: “I am delighted the Exeter Pound is moving forward in such a positive way. In expanding partnerships across the city, we are aiming to work for the benefit of everyone in Exeter.”

Vote below and flick though the images above:


Vote Now: Choose the design for Exeter’s new pound note | Exeter Express and Echo

The Express & Echo has posted other designs:


Swing Low Sweet Chariot moment captured on new Exeter Pound note

By Exeter Express and Echo | Posted: March 24, 2015




The £E15 note marking the moment in Exeter

THE first time Swing Low Sweet Chariot is thought to have been sung in Exeter is to be commemorated on a bank note.

On August 19 1875 the Fisk University Jubilee Singers, a black American gospel choir, came from the United States to tour the UK. As part of their nationwide tour, they played to a packed Victoria Hall in Queen Street, Exeter now the Victoria House building of Exeter College.

The story of the Fisk singers was recently re-discovered by the Telling Our Stories, Finding Our Roots Project hosted by the Global Centre in Exeter.


Swing Low Sweet Chariot moment captured on new Exeter Pound note | Exeter Express and Echo


First design revealed for new Exeter bank notes as Chiefs’ star Jack Nowell

By Exeter Express and Echo | Posted: March 09, 2015



The planned design for the Exeter Pound note

Exeter Chiefs player and England Rugby Union star Jack Nowell is to feature on one of Exeter’s own bank notes, the Echo can reveal.

Exeter Chiefs have given their backing to a new local currency due to launch in the city later this year.

However, there is still time for residents to get involved in creating their own design to feature on one of notes.

Jack’s image will feature on a special £E15 note issued to mark the Rugby World Cup arriving in the city. The Chiefs have also pledged to accept the Exeter Pounds and will look to spend them with their suppliers.


First design revealed for new Exeter bank notes as Chiefs’ star Jack Nowell | Exeter Express and Echo
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Knowle relocation project: deciding to sell >>>>>>>>>> Full Council: Wednesday 25th March >>> District Council reports

There have been several reports on the District Council's vote last month to sell the Knowle site:
Futures Forum: Knowle relocation project: deciding to sell > Full Council: Wednesday 25th March
Futures Forum: Knowle relocation project: deciding to sell > Full Council: Wednesday 25th March >>> reports
Futures Forum: Knowle relocation project: deciding to sell > Full Council: Wednesday 25th March >>> further reports
Futures Forum: Knowle relocation project: deciding to sell > Full Council: Wednesday 25th March >>> and more reports

Here are the minutes from the Overview & Scrutiny Cttee which was a prelude to the full Council:
Overview and Scrutiny Committee minutes for 12 March 2015 - Office relocation - East Devon District Council

And here are the minutes from that full Council meeting:
Council minutes for 25 March 2015 - Office relocation - East Devon District Council

Here are some excerpts from the latest 'Moving and Improving':

5. Keeping people informed

  • Our recommendations have been reported to Cabinet and Full Council so Members and the public can follow progress. Following the initial communication events in Sidmouth, two stakeholder group sessions were held, with further stakeholder group sessions planned for April 2015.
  • EDDC has also produced regular press releases recounting the ongoing progress of the project and the main messages have also been communicated through a series of newsletters called East Devon Extra. Public involvement will continue, with a Best Value consultation exercise later this year.

6. Project scrutiny

A project of this size and importance is being scrutinised both internally and externally through Audit and Governance Committee, Overview and Scrutiny Committee and our internal and external auditors.

Moving and Improving: all you need to know about the office relocation - East Devon District Council

And this is the District Council's press release:


NewsCouncil gives green light for Knowle exit

Moving and Improving project approval signals move to Honiton and Exmouth
Council gives green light for Knowle exit
Council gives green light for Knowle exit
East Devon District Council WILL be moving out of its ageing offices at Sidmouth for purpose-built and modernised accommodation at Honiton and Exmouth respectively.
After a lengthy debate last night (Wednesday 25 March) Full Council voted by a significant majority that the authority should sell its Knowle headquarters in Sidmouth and move to the dual-site solution at Honiton and Exmouth.
This vote formally gives the green light for officers to proceed towards concluding the council’s long-standing Moving and Improving project, with an estimated delivery date of mid 2017.
The decision by Full Council follows votes in favour of relocation by Cabinet on 11 March and strong endorsement of the proposals by meetings of Overview & Scrutinyand Audit & Governance committees on 12 March.
Evidence supporting the case for a move has been building for some years as the project team and a senior-level working party compared the options of staying at Knowle or moving.

High costs

The costs of heating, maintaining and repairing Knowle and converting it to accommodation fit for new ways of working are high – and would mean spending money on an asset with no value.
By contrast, the dual-site option of purpose-built offices at Honiton and refurbished accommodation at Exmouth Town Hall ticks all the right boxes in terms of location, suitability for agile working, greater resilience and future-proofing against challenges that lie ahead – not least of which is continuing budgetary pressures.
In last night’s vote, Members accepted recommendations in a report to Cabinetfrom Deputy Chief Executive Richard Cohen seeking permission to progress with the sale of the Knowle development site for between seven and eight million pounds. The exact figure remains commercially confidential at the request of the would-be buyer.
The report explains that figures supporting the case for a move have been modelled in co-operation with the council’s independent external auditors, Grant Thornton. Internal auditors the South West Audit Partnership have also examined the project’s governance and process.

Specialist

The proposed buyer of the development site at Knowle is Pegasus Life Ltd., a specialist provider of residential developments offering retirement and assisted living facilities.
The developer would be buying 1.8856 hectares of land, including the area currently occupied by buildings and tarmac car parks. Full Council agreed with Cabinet’s recommendation that the 3.5196 hectares (86%) of parkland, which includes the lower ‘grasscrete’ car park, would be offered to Sidmouth Town Council to own and manage, with a covenant against any future development of this land.
The capital, borrowing and running costs of relocation are published in the report and comparisons are made with the equivalent costs that would be incurred in remaining on the Knowle site, making a strong case in favour of the move.
In addition to the selling price of the development site, the council would need to find just over two million pounds through prudential borrowing* from the Public Works Loan Board over a loan period of 20 years. Critically, the calculations verified by external auditors show that in each year after the move takes place, the savings in operating costs in moving to purpose-built offices in Honiton and refurbished space in Exmouth would exceed the loan repayments.
Each year, the amount saved would increase and, after the loan has been repaid, the savings would continue on.

Challenging

Fundamental to the move is EDDC’s desire to move away from traditional working practices that are both expensive and wasteful. Investing in the working environment, technology, business processes and flexible working practices will realise the benefits of lower operating costs, high productivity and better services for our residents.
The council’s Worksmart approach will help it to move away from traditional ways of desk-bound working. New ways of working mean that increasingly work will take place at the most effective locations respecting the needs of the task, the customer, the individual and the team. Properly equipped mobile officers will be able to operate more efficiently; the use of surgeries across the district will continue to manage local demand; and an improving website, plus other applications, will offer a greater number of online transactional services.
Full Council heard that costings calculated by the project team support the case for a move. The most cost-effective option is to refurbish Exmouth Town Hall and a new-build office at Honiton Heathpark. Options of Honiton alone and combined with Exmouth are all more cost-effective than staying at Knowle with ‘do minimum’ investment, let alone any significant modernisation.
Over the 20-year period the district will be £2.8m better off if the Council moves. This compares with being £3.9m worse off by staying and carrying out ‘do minimum’ investment works at Knowle.

Transparent

Commenting on the decision to confirm the move, Councillor Paul DivianiLeader ofEDDC, said:
I’m pleased that we can give the residents of East Devon, many of whom will be voting in district elections on 7 May, a clear and transparent picture of our intentions after many years of careful consideration and fine-tuning to find the most effective solution. Whilst this approach has been prudent, it has inevitably caused uncertainty for our towns and especially for our employees.
This project is all about giving our residents, businesses and visitors the best possible service at the least possible cost. We know there is more austerity on the way and that our council – like others up and down the country – has to find more and more creative ways of saving costs and becoming more efficient. Our customers want good service without hikes in council tax.
How strange would it be for our residents to see us making piecemeal changes here and there to save relatively small amounts of money in each service, whilst pouring scarce funds into an unsuitable building that will have no value? By thinking ahead – and outside the box – we have given ourselves the chance of moving to accommodation that supports modern working practices, will reduce operating costs and will prove an investment for the future.
This has been described by some cynics as a vanity project. It’s not – it’s a sanity project!
I’m delighted that my fellow councillors have decided to grasp this fantastic opportunity and I now feel confident that we will be able to continue giving our customers the service they deserve, at a price they can afford. 
A move away from a site in Sidmouth that has been the council’s home since 1974 has been on the cards for at least seven years.
In line with many other public bodies and councils up and down the country, East Devon District Council’s Moving and Improving project is designed to maximise the value of the council’s property asset and minimise running costs, whilst at the same time delivering outstanding service to residents. To do this EDDC needs accommodation that will give Staff and Members the best possible future-proofed, flexible space from which to work.
Knowle is expensive to run and will continue in the future to cost millions to repair, maintain or modernise – money that the council does not have to pour into aged and inefficient buildings.
As far back as 2008, Members instructed one of EDDC’s directors to look at the options for a new HQ. The idea gained extra momentum when Government cuts started to bite. In July 2011, Cabinet called for a project team to investigate a move from Knowle (without increasing the Council Tax), with an EDDC-owned site at Honiton an early favourite in terms of making the best business sense.
Early in 2012, EDDC appointed a dedicated Project Manager and three communication events were held in Sidmouth. Refusal of outline planning permission for a home-grown development proposal resulted in a further look at the options. In July 2013,Cabinet and Full Council voted to actively seek a fresh location. A search identified 15 proposals, which were assessed by the Relocation Executive Group (REG), made up of the council’s leader, deputy leader, two other cabinet members and senior officers.
The initial choice following this exercise was a site at SkyPark to the west of the district, close to the new community of Cranbrook and at the heart of the Exeter and East Devon Growth Point.
But reduced income by way of capital receipt from the mooted sale of Heathpark meant SkyPark was not a viable option, so Honiton then became the focus for further consideration. At the same time space became available at Exmouth Town Hall, providing an ideal two-site solution incorporating a smaller head office in Honiton and achieving a greater presence for the council in Exmouth.
  • EDDC’s current offices at Knowle are expensive to run, unfit for new ways of working, and a depreciating asset.
  • Marketing Knowle shows that potential developers are not interested in buying a site with council still occupying part of it. Not one wanted to keep any of the buildings apart from the bat house.
  • Ongoing austerity, falling revenues and rising costs make a move the most judicious option.
  • The council is investing in the Moving and Improving project to find a better all-round solution.
  • New offices will allow more flexible working catering for local demand across the district.
  • A new-build at Honiton and refurbishment at Exmouth will lower energy usage and reduce costs.
  • EDDC’s Worksmart project, use of surgeries across the district and an improved website will ensure residents can access our services when and how they want them.
  • A dual-site solution (Honiton/Exmouth) is now the favoured choice and if agreed a move would be likely in mid 2017.
*Prudential Borrowing: Introduced in 2003, Prudential Borrowing is based on local authorities planning their needs for capital spending in a sensible and long-term way, based on sound management of assets and finances. Borrowing must conform to the Prudential Code, endorsed by the Chartered Institute of Public Finance and Accountancy. This requires that borrowing be affordable and prudent (sensible). Whilst the rate of increase of central government contribution to capital expenditure has slowed, prudential borrowing has helped to maintain an overall increase in investment, allowing local authorities to meet the local and national challenges that they face.

26 March 2015 - Council gives green light for Knowle exit - East Devon District Council
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Climate change: and the coal mining industry

Climate change sceptics have long accused climate scientists as simply enjoying the gravy train of research grants and the like:
The Climate Complex Strikes Back : Blog : Foundation for Economic Education
'Climategate' professor Phil Jones awarded £13 million in research grants - Telegraph
Michael Mann Faces Bankruptcy as his Courtroom Climate Capers Collapse | Principia Scientific Intl

On the other hand, the 'warmists' have noted that much the funding for sceptic organisations comes from fossil-fuel sponsors:
Heartland Institute - SourceWatch
Global Warming Skeptic Organizations | Union of Concerned Scientists
Meet The Climate Denial Machine | Blog | Media Matters for America
The Australians backing Heartland’s climate sceptics conference | Crikey
Work of prominent climate change denier was funded by energy industry | Environment | The Guardian

One of the fossil-fuel industries is coal:
Lord Lawson's links to Europe's colossal coal polluter | Damian Carrington | Environment | The Guardian

It is a particularly contentious industry in the United States and Australia:
Futures Forum: Quarrying in East Devon: can it be done 'sustainably'?
Futures Forum: "Climate science has been dragged into the American-style culture wars that are turning British intellectual life into a battlefield."

One of the most controversial figures in the UK is Matt Riley:
Climate sceptic Lord Ridley - Britain's biggest carbon footprint? - The Ecologist
Matt 'King Coal' Ridley Loses Power Station Buyer Due to European Regulations | DeSmog UK

This is from his own blog:

My life as a climate lukewarmer

Published on Tuesday, January 20, 2015, updated Sunday, February 15, 2015

The polarisation of the climate debate has gone too far

This article appeared in the Times on January 19, 2015:

I am a climate lukewarmer. That means I think recent global warming is real, mostly man-made and will continue but I no longer think it is likely to be dangerous and I think its slow and erratic progress so far is what we should expect in the future. That last year was the warmest yet, in some data sets, but only by a smidgen more than 2005, is precisely in line with such lukewarm thinking.

This view annoys some sceptics who think all climate change is natural or imaginary, but it is even more infuriating to most publicly funded scientists and politicians, who insist climate change is a big risk. My middle-of-the-road position is considered not just wrong, but disgraceful, shameful, verging on scandalous. I am subjected to torrents of online abuse for holding it, very little of it from sceptics.

I was even kept off the shortlist for a part-time, unpaid public-sector appointment in a field unrelated to climate because of having this view, or so the headhunter thought. In the climate debate, paying obeisance to climate scaremongering is about as mandatory for a public appointment, or public funding, as being a Protestant was in 18th-century England.


My life as a climate lukewarmer - Matt Ridley

And this is from this week's Independent:


Prominent climate change sceptic set to make millions by digging giant open-cast mines on Northumberland family estate



The Ridley family have been mining coal on their 18th century Blagdon Estate since the 1940s

TOM BAWDEN ENVIRONMENT EDITOR Wednesday 01 April 2015

Viscount Ridley, a prominent climate change sceptic, is to dig two giant open-cast mines on his national park family estate in Northumberland that will produce an estimated £20m of coal – increasing criticism that his championing of fossil fuels is tainted by self-interest.

The Ridley family have been mining coal on their 18th century Blagdon Estate since the 1940s. The present Viscount Ridley – the Conservative peer, science writer and former banker Matt Ridley – was granted permission for two new mines in 2014.

The Shotton Triangle mine is forecast to produce about 290,000 tons of coal while the Shotton South West site has a target of about 250,000 tons. The mines, first reported by the websiteDeSmogBlog.Com, could generate £21.5m at the current coal price.

The Ridley family will receive only a fraction of this sum in the form of a “wayleave” payment for allowing access to the coal, because mining royalties go to the government.

Viscount Ridley is a climate change sceptic who thinks ‘for decades to come we will rely on fossil fuels’ (Rex)

Lord Ridley, a brother-in-law to the climate change sceptic former Environment Secretary Owen Paterson, has frequently dismissed concerns about global warming and advocated fossil fuels in his newspaper columns.

In an article entitled Fossil Fuels will Save the World (Really) in The Wall Street Journal this month he wrote: “The environmental movement has advanced three arguments in recent years for giving up fossil fuels…These days, not one of the three arguments is looking very healthy.

“A more realistic assessment of our energy and environment situation suggests that, for decades to come, we will continue to rely overwhelmingly on the fossil fuels that have contributed so dramatically to the world’s prosperity and progress.”

In pictures: Changing climate around the world

Viscount Ridley disclosed his involvement in the coal industry in the article.

Climate change campaigners said Lord Ridley’s commercial interests raised questions about his global-warming views. Dr Robin Russell-Jones, an environmental scientist, described him as: “A prominent climate change sceptic with a vested interest in climate change denial. His views are largely self-serving.”

Greenpeace UK chief scientist Doug Parr said: “Viscount Ridley’s long-standing financial interest in coal, and similarly long-standing relaxed attitude to global warming would appear to be conveniently aligned. As Upton Sinclair observed, it is difficult to get a man to understand something when his income depends upon his not understanding it.”


Speaking on behalf of Lord Ridley, Blagdon Estate chief executive Robert Downer said: “The mining operations on Estate land are owned and operated by long-established regional employer The Banks Group, rather than by the Estate, and the coal that is mined is owned by The Crown, with the Estate receiving a small wayleave for enabling access to it and as compensation for lack of agricultural access to the land.”

He added: “Matt Ridley has always been clear and open about his mining interests, having declared them both in the House of Lords and in his numerous writings, and that his views on climate and energy policy would be the same regardless of the amount of mining revenue that the Estate was receiving.”


Prominent climate change sceptic set to make millions by digging giant open-cast mines on Northumberland family estate - Home News - UK - The Independent

This is the original article from the Wall Street Journal:

Fossil Fuels Will Save the World (Really)

There are problems with oil, gas and coal, but their benefits for people—and the planet—are beyond dispute

Workers tend to a well head during a hydraulic fracturing operation outside Rifle, Colo., on March 29, 2013. Increased production has driven down oil prices. PHOTO: ASSOCIATED PRESS

MATT RIDLEY March 13, 2015 5:33 p.m. ET
830 COMMENTS

The environmental movement has advanced three arguments in recent years for giving up fossil fuels: (1) that we will soon run out of them anyway; (2) that alternative sources of energy will price them out of the marketplace; and (3) that we cannot afford the climate consequences of burning them.

These days, not one of the three arguments is looking very healthy. In fact, a more realistic assessment of our energy and environmental situation suggests that, for decades to come, we will continue to rely overwhelmingly on the fossil fuels that have contributed so dramatically to the world’s prosperity and progress.

In 2013, about 87% of the energy that the world consumed came from fossil fuels, a figure that—remarkably—was unchanged from 10 years before. This roughly divides into three categories of fuel and three categories of use: oil used mainly for transport, gas used mainly for heating, and coal used mainly for electricity.

Over this period, the overall volume of fossil-fuel consumption has increased dramatically, but with an encouraging environmental trend: a diminishing amount of carbon-dioxide emissions per unit of energy produced. The biggest contribution to decarbonizing the energy system has been the switch from high-carbon coal to lower-carbon gas in electricity generation.

On a global level, renewable energy sources such as wind and solar have contributed hardly at all to the drop in carbon emissions, and their modest growth has merely made up for a decline in the fortunes of zero-carbon nuclear energy. (The reader should know that I have an indirect interest in coal through the ownership of land in Northern England on which it is mined, but I nonetheless applaud the displacement of coal by gas in recent years.)

The argument that fossil fuels will soon run out is dead, at least for a while. The collapse of the price of oil over the past six months is the result of abundance: an inevitable consequence of the high oil prices of recent years, which stimulated innovation in hydraulic fracturing, horizontal drilling, seismology and information technology. The U.S.—the country with the oldest and most developed hydrocarbon fields—has found itself once again, surprisingly, at the top of the energy-producing league, rivaling Saudi Arabia in oil and Russia in gas.

The shale genie is now out of the bottle. Even if the current low price drives out some high-cost oil producers—in the North Sea, Canada, Russia, Iran and offshore, as well as in America—shale drillers can step back in whenever the price rebounds. As Mark Hill of Allegro Development Corporation argued last week, the frackers are currently experiencing their own version of Moore’s law: a rapid fall in the cost and time it takes to drill a well, along with a rapid rise in the volume of hydrocarbons they are able to extract.

And the shale revolution has yet to go global. When it does, oil and gas in tight rock formations will give the world ample supplies of hydrocarbons for decades, if not centuries. Lurking in the wings for later technological breakthroughs is methane hydrate, a seafloor source of gas that exceeds in quantity all the world’s coal, oil and gas put together.

So those who predict the imminent exhaustion of fossil fuels are merely repeating the mistakes of the U.S. presidential commission that opined in 1922 that “already the output of gas has begun to wane. Production of oil cannot long maintain its present rate.” Or President Jimmy Carter when he announced on television in 1977 that “we could use up all the proven reserves of oil in the entire world by the end of the next decade.”

That fossil fuels are finite is a red herring. The Atlantic Ocean is finite, but that does not mean that you risk bumping into France if you row out of a harbor in Maine. The buffalo of the American West were infinite, in the sense that they could breed, yet they came close to extinction. It is an ironic truth that no nonrenewable resource has ever run dry, while renewable resources—whales, cod, forests, passenger pigeons—have frequently done so.

The second argument for giving up fossil fuels is that new rivals will shortly price them out of the market. But it is not happening. The great hope has long been nuclear energy, but even if there is a rush to build new nuclear power stations over the next few years, most will simply replace old ones due to close. The world’s nuclear output is down from 6% of world energy consumption in 2003 to 4% today. It is forecast to inch back up to just 6.7% by 2035, according the Energy Information Administration.

Nuclear’s problem is cost. In meeting the safety concerns of environmentalists, politicians and regulators added requirements for extra concrete, steel and pipework, and even more for extra lawyers, paperwork and time. The effect was to make nuclear plants into huge and lengthy boondoggles with no competition or experimentation to drive down costs. Nuclear is now able to compete with fossil fuels only when it is subsidized.


ILLUSTRATION: HARRY CAMPBELL

As for renewable energy, hydroelectric is the biggest and cheapest supplier, but it has the least capacity for expansion. Technologies that tap the energy of waves and tides remain unaffordable and impractical, and most experts think that this won’t change in a hurry. Geothermal is a minor player for now. And bioenergy—that is, wood, ethanol made from corn or sugar cane, or diesel made from palm oil—is proving an ecological disaster: It encourages deforestation and food-price hikes that cause devastation among the world’s poor, and per unit of energy produced, it creates even more carbon dioxide than coal.

Wind power, for all the public money spent on its expansion, has inched up to—wait for it—1% of world energy consumption in 2013. Solar, for all the hype, has not even managed that: If we round to the nearest whole number, it accounts for 0% of world energy consumption.

Both wind and solar are entirely reliant on subsidies for such economic viability as they have. World-wide, the subsidies given to renewable energy currently amount to roughly $10 per gigajoule: These sums are paid by consumers to producers, so they tend to go from the poor to the rich, often to landowners (I am a landowner and can testify that I receive and refuse many offers of risk-free wind and solar subsidies).

It is true that some countries subsidize the use of fossil fuels, but they do so at a much lower rate—the world average is about $1.20 per gigajoule—and these are mostly subsidies for consumers (not producers), so they tend to help the poor, for whom energy costs are a disproportionate share of spending.

The costs of renewable energy are coming down, especially in the case of solar. But even if solar panels were free, the power they produce would still struggle to compete with fossil fuel—except in some very sunny locations—because of all the capital equipment required to concentrate and deliver the energy. This is to say nothing of the great expanses of land on which solar facilities must be built and the cost of retaining sufficient conventional generator capacity to guarantee supply on a dark, cold, windless evening.

The two fundamental problems that renewables face are that they take up too much space and produce too little energy. Consider Solar Impulse, the solar-powered airplane now flying around the world. Despite its huge wingspan (similar to a 747), slow speed and frequent stops, the only cargo that it can carry is the pilots themselves. That is a good metaphor for the limitations of renewables.

To run the U.S. economy entirely on wind would require a wind farm the size of Texas, California and New Mexico combined—backed up by gas on windless days. To power it on wood would require a forest covering two-thirds of the U.S., heavily and continually harvested.

John Constable, who will head a new Energy Institute at the University of Buckingham in Britain, points out that the trickle of energy that human beings managed to extract from wind, water and wood before the Industrial Revolution placed a great limit on development and progress. The incessant toil of farm laborers generated so little surplus energy in the form of food for men and draft animals that the accumulation of capital, such as machinery, was painfully slow. Even as late as the 18th century, this energy-deprived economy was sufficient to enrich daily life for only a fraction of the population.

Our old enemy, the second law of thermodynamics, is the problem here. As a teenager’s bedroom generally illustrates, left to its own devices, everything in the world becomes less ordered, more chaotic, tending toward “entropy,” or thermodynamic equilibrium. To reverse this tendency and make something complex, ordered and functional requires work. It requires energy.

The more energy you have, the more intricate, powerful and complex you can make a system. Just as human bodies need energy to be ordered and functional, so do societies. In that sense, fossil fuels were a unique advance because they allowed human beings to create extraordinary patterns of order and complexity—machines and buildings—with which to improve their lives.

The result of this great boost in energy is what the economic historian and philosopherDeirdre McCloskey calls the Great Enrichment. In the case of the U.S., there has been a roughly 9,000% increase in the value of goods and services available to the average American since 1800, almost all of which are made with, made of, powered by or propelled by fossil fuels.

Still, more than a billion people on the planet have yet to get access to electricity and to experience the leap in living standards that abundant energy brings. This is not just an inconvenience for them: Indoor air pollution from wood fires kills four million people a year. The next time that somebody at a rally against fossil fuels lectures you about her concern for the fate of her grandchildren, show her a picture of an African child dying today from inhaling the dense muck of a smoky fire.

Notice, too, the ways in which fossil fuels have contributed to preserving the planet. As the American author and fossil-fuels advocate Alex Epstein points out in a bravely unfashionable book, “The Moral Case for Fossil Fuels,” the use of coal halted and then reversed the deforestation of Europe and North America. The turn to oil halted the slaughter of the world’s whales and seals for their blubber. Fertilizer manufactured with gas halved the amount of land needed to produce a given amount of food, thus feeding a growing population while sparing land for wild nature.

To throw away these immense economic, environmental and moral benefits, you would have to have a very good reason. The one most often invoked today is that we are wrecking the planet’s climate. But are we?

Although the world has certainly warmed since the 19th century, the rate of warming has been slow and erratic. There has been no increase in the frequency or severity of storms or droughts, no acceleration of sea-level rise. Arctic sea ice has decreased, but Antarctic sea ice has increased. At the same time, scientists are agreed that the extra carbon dioxide in the air has contributed to an improvement in crop yields and a roughly 14% increase in the amount of all types of green vegetation on the planet since 1980.

That carbon-dioxide emissions should cause warming is not a new idea. In 1938, the British scientist Guy Callender thought that he could already detect warming as a result of carbon-dioxide emissions. He reckoned, however, that this was “likely to prove beneficial to mankind” by shifting northward the climate where cultivation was possible.

Only in the 1970s and 1980s did scientists begin to say that the mild warming expected as a direct result of burning fossil fuels—roughly a degree Celsius per doubling of carbon-dioxide concentrations in the atmosphere—might be greatly amplified by water vapor and result in dangerous warming of two to four degrees a century or more. That “feedback” assumption of high “sensitivity” remains in virtually all of the mathematical models used to this day by the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, or IPCC.

And yet it is increasingly possible that it is wrong. As Patrick Michaels of the libertarian Cato Institute has written, since 2000, 14 peer-reviewed papers, published by 42 authors, many of whom are key contributors to the reports of the IPCC, have concluded that climate sensitivity is low because net feedbacks are modest. They arrive at this conclusion based on observed temperature changes, ocean-heat uptake and the balance between warming and cooling emissions (mainly sulfate aerosols). On average, they find sensitivity to be 40% lower than the models on which the IPCC relies.

If these conclusions are right, they would explain the failure of the Earth’s surface to warm nearly as fast as predicted over the past 35 years, a time when—despite carbon-dioxide levels rising faster than expected—the warming rate has never reached even two-tenths of a degree per decade and has slowed down to virtually nothing in the past 15 to 20 years. This is one reason the latest IPCC report did not give a “best estimate” of sensitivity and why it lowered its estimate of near-term warming.

Most climate scientists remain reluctant to abandon the models and take the view that the current “hiatus” has merely delayed rapid warming. A turning point to dangerously rapid warming could be around the corner, even though it should have shown up by now. So it would be wise to do something to cut our emissions, so long as that something does not hurt the poor and those struggling to reach a modern standard of living.

We should encourage the switch from coal to gas in the generation of electricity, provide incentives for energy efficiency, get nuclear power back on track and keep developing solar power and electricity storage. We should also invest in research on ways to absorb carbon dioxide from the air, by fertilizing the ocean or fixing it through carbon capture and storage. Those measures all make sense. And there is every reason to promote open-ended research to find some unexpected new energy technology.

The one thing that will not work is the one thing that the environmental movement insists upon: subsidizing wealthy crony capitalists to build low-density, low-output, capital-intensive, land-hungry renewable energy schemes, while telling the poor to give up the dream of getting richer through fossil fuels.

Mr. Ridley is the author of “The Rational Optimist: How Prosperity Evolves” and a member of the British House of Lords.


Fossil Fuels Will Save the World (Really) - WSJ

See also:
Futures Forum: "Exposing the futuristic fantasies deployed by the fossil-fuel companies"
Futures Forum: Environment Secretary Owen Paterson visits Sidmouth seafront and beaches
Futures Forum: The continuing politicisation of the climate change debate
Futures Forum: Climate Change: the film
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Plans for Port Royal: the draft Local Plan and 30 new homes

The area grandly known as 'Port Royal' at the eastern end of Sidmouth's front looks rather sad:

> the dilapidated former Drill Hall:



Futures Forum: Become a Friend of Sidmouth Drill Hall

> the main feature: the public toilets and shelter with the best view along the South Coast:



Key agreement in Sidmouth Port Royal re-development - News - Sidmouth Herald
... and which witnessed the very sad death of a homeless person this winter:
Update: Shock as homeless man found dead on Sidmouth seafront | Exeter Express and Echo

> the vulnerable Alma Bridge:


Futures Forum: Sidmouth Beach Management Plan Steering Group ... "help by providing local knowledge and information..." Community Engagement event at Sidmouth Sailing Club on 6th March

'Something must be done': and this blog started life with the issue of Port Royal:
Futures Forum: Port Royal future: ‘Let’s get the community on board’

And there have been very different visions for the area over the years:
Port Royal Marina plans for Sidmouth revealed - BBC News
Council marks time on old Drill Hall blueprint - News - Sidmouth Herald
SIDMOUTH: Support needed to save town’s historic Drill Hall - View from Sidmouth

The latest plea for 'something to be done' was made at the Town Council:

The District Council's vision for Port Royal focusses on provision for 30 new homes:




















Breaking news & sport in Sidmouth | Sidmouth Herald

This is in the context of the draft Local Plan and its proposals for new housing:
Futures Forum: The District Council: housing numbers and neighbourhood plans: "It is important that we should encourage all our settlements to make themselves sustainable for the sake of generations to come."

Although this proposal has been on the drawing board for some time now:
Port Royal | Save Our Sidmouth
Sid Vale Association - LDF Response
Futures Forum: Public Examination of the New East Devon Local Plan ..... Sidmouth: the issues: The Knowle, Port Royal, Manstone Depot Residential Allocations

Could 'new homes at Port Royal' mean 'affordable'?
Futures Forum: East Devon and affordable housing: November 2012
Futures Forum: Public Examination of the New East Devon Local Plan ..... ..... SIDMOUTH: reports from 11th March



Futures Forum: Plans for Port Royal: mixed development
Futures Forum: Ham Lane Redevelopment Study - a mixed development for Port Royal



Futures Forum: Plans for Port Royal: Eastern Town then and now
Futures Forum: Gerald Counter's Sidmouth: an insight into Eastern Town
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Friday, 3 April 2015

Citizen science on Springwatch - with the Woodland Trust >>> tracking how fast spring moves

'Citizen science' is proving very important in the gathering of data:
Futures Forum: "How ancient Devon woodland will help citizen scientists predict the effects of climate change"
Futures Forum: "Citizen scientists: Now you can link the UK winter deluge to climate change"

Many nature conservancy bodies ask members to collect information:
Futures Forum: Big Butterfly Count

And the BBC's extremely successful Springwatch programme has engaged enthusiastic viewers now for twelve years in recording the first signs of spring:
Futures Forum: Citizen science on Springwatch

This year's efforts started up this evening:
BBC Two - Springwatch

... with a very practical guide:

Help us track how fast spring moves


By Dr Kate Lewthwaite, Woodland Trust Citizen Science Manager
Here at the Woodland Trust we have been recording signs of spring (and autumn!) for 15 years. This is a mere blink of the eye compared to the records which date back nearly three centuries to when Robert Marsham began recording spring species and events back in 1736 on his family estate near Norwich.
In partnership with the Centre for Ecology and Hydrology in Cambridge we have been able to analyse over two and a half million pieces of data, historic and modern, recorded by the public across the length and breadth of the UK. This information has provided a real insight into how plants and animals are responding to climate change. We have already discovered how both spring and autumn are arriving earlier than before; up to two weeks in the case of certain species, and that the seasons in themselves are also much less distinct. In some years ‘winter’ seems to hardly make an appearance at all.
We know that some species are dependant on one another and so the relationship between when they appear is important. If leafing and caterpillar hatching are happening earlier, for instance, birds will need to be able to respond to this so they don’t miss the peak availability of spring food for their nestlings.
What we have yet to really understand is how and why these events occur geographically across the country and what influences may play a part on their arrival. So theoretically we know that spring should begin in the South West and work its way up the country to Scotland. What is less clear is how quickly certain species will make an appearance across the country from south to north.
With the help of Springwatch viewers we hope to piece together the speed at which five seasonal events are first seen across the country from south to north; seven-spot ladybird, oak leafing, hawthorn flowering, orange-tip butterfly and the swallow returning from Africa.
By analysing the records we hope to find out if there is a uniform direction that spring progresses in, whether particular species react differently and even if it speeds up or slows down as it arrives.
Better understanding of seasonal timings means we may be able to help species that appear less able to react to climate change. For example analysis of our records shows that frogs are so locally adapted they may struggle to keep up with even modest change.
We all know that our precious wildlife habitats are under threat and it’s important we do what we can to protect and link up existing habitats, create new habitats and manage the natural environment for the benefit for as diverse an array of wildlife as possible.

Tips on how to identify the Big Spring Watch species:

Tips for getting outdoors:

BBC Blogs - Springwatch - Help us track how fast spring moves

And from the Woodland Trust:


How fast does spring move?
Big Spring Watch 
From spotting the first snowdrop in spring, through to looking for the autumnal colours in leaves, Nature’s Calendar volunteers record the signs of the seasons where they live. These records add to the longest written dataset of its kind. Beginning in 1736, the results are helping us to understand how nature is responding to a changing climate.

Along with the BBC's Big Spring Watch and the British Science Association we’re asking everyone to look out for some commonly seen natural events. From this we’ll aim to calculate how fast the arrival of spring 2015 sweeps across the UK from south to north. Snail’s pace, walking pace, jogging pace? Only you can help us find out!




Get involved
1.     Register as a recorder with Nature’s Calendar.

2.     Discover what to look out for and download information packs.

3.     Get recording, keep up to date with our recording map, and tweet your findings.



The Nature's Calendar Survey - Woodland Trust
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Knowle relocation project: an application to list Knowle park as an Asset of Community Value

At the meeting at which the District Council voted to sell the Knowle site, several arguments were voiced against the project:
Futures Forum: Knowle relocation project: deciding to sell >>> Full Council: Wednesday 25th March >>> and more reports


One specific proposal was presented to the Council:

APPLICATION TO LIST KNOWLE PARK AS ASSET OF COMMUNITY VALUE

March 26, 2015 by sidmouthsid Leave a comment

This speech by Mike Temple, was made at last night’s Extra Ordinary Council meeting on relocation (Weds 25 March)

Chairman, Members,

I speak on behalf of the Knowle Residents’ Association.

Yesterday afternoon, we delivered to EDDC reception an application to register Knowle Park as an Asset of Community Value.

The Knowle Residents’ Association was urged to take this step following extensive discussions only last Thursday 19th March, with lawyers from the national conservation group SAVE Britain’s Heritage.

This group has considerable experience in such cases, and has pursued very successfully over the years the listing of assets which would otherwise be damaged or destroyed.

The registration of the Knowle Park in its entirety as an Asset of Community Value would protect a much-valued amenity from the ravages of development.

Earlier this month, EDDC’s Cabinet recommended that this Council give away about 85% of the Knowle parkland to the Sidmouth Town Council – which is an extraordinary admission, namely that the District Council is prepared to donate an asset of community value to the local town’s authority.

The registration of the whole of the Knowle parkland as an Asset of Community Value would mean that this greatly valued historic amenity would indeed be donated to the local community.

Should EDDC reject this application, the Knowle Residents Association will appeal, and will pursue with determination the registration of all of the parkland at Knowle.

We urge you to take note of this decision.

Thank you.

APPLICATION TO LIST KNOWLE PARK AS ASSET OF COMMUNITY VALUE | Save Our Sidmouth

This is the report from today's Herald:


































Breaking news & sport in Sidmouth | Sidmouth Herald

Meanwhile, the formal Judgement from the Tribunal on the reports from the secretive Relocation Working Parties is immanent:
Tribunal end in sight for East Devon District Council | Exeter Express and Echo

Whilst the East Devon Watch blog has noted parallels between an application in Topsham and the proposals for Knowle:
Exeter City Council unanimously rejects Topsham Care Home scheme with similarities to Knowl plans | East Devon Watch
Topsham care home plans unanimously rejected by Exeter City Council’s planning committee | Exeter Express and Echo
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