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Thursday 20 September 2018

Brexit: and how will UK agriculture fare?

There are services out there for farming professionals who want some guidance to the the post-Brexit world:
The Policy Group and Brexit – Increment

Specialists in policy and economic impacts of change in the agricultural and food industries
We help you to assess the investment risk and opportunities created by policy change

The Policy Group - Home

Here are a couple of papers from them, courtesy of the Food & Farming Futures blog:

Brexit EU WTO terms
19 September 2018
This article looks at the surprisingly different impact of the imposition of tariffs on UK exports and considers some of the reasons why our trading partners may not accept
the proposed WTO terms.

Brexit EU WTO terms - The Policy Group

There is also 'A Brexit Primer' from The Policy Group's Simon Ward:
A Brexit Primer - The Policy Group

The Food & Farming Futures blog also features a paper from the Centre for Rural Economy, School of Natural and Environmental Science, Newcastle University:

Brexit: How Will UK Agriculture Fare?

17 September 2018

There is little doubt that the UK agri-food sector will be one of the most seriously affected by Brexit.
Not only is it dependent on trade relations both with the European Union and with the Rest of the World, but it is also a sector dependent on migrant labour, and the most heavily subsidised and regulated under the present Common Agricultural Policy (CAP). UK farmers are guaranteed to receive the same level of subsidy as under the CAP until the end of 2022. Despite these efforts, the lack of concrete policy decisions and the uncertainty that surrounds the terms of negotiations with the EU make this period difficult for farm business planning.

The consequences of Brexit for UK agriculture will depend upon two major factors:
o Changes in and/or removal of agricultural subsidies
o Trade agreements or lack of them


With the full report here:
Brexit: How Will UK Agriculture Fare? - Hubbard - 2018 - EuroChoices - Wiley Online Library
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