Friday, 4 October 2013

The Center for Climatic Research in Madison, Wisconsin... and climate change

From The Nation a couple of months ago - saying pretty much the same as the IPCC this week:

Frigid and Sweltering: The New Climate Normal

Runge reservoir some forty miles north of Santiago February 3, 2012. (Reuters/Ivan Alvarado)
Climate change often seems more palpable (and gets more media coverage) at this time of year, after heat waves have hit parts of the country. But polls suggest many members of the public are confused about the connection between climate change and cold weather. As I noted in a post last week, belief in climate change drops among Americans during cold weather and dipped slightly after this past winter. Moreover, climate deniers and right-wing pundits tend to hype winter weather, as if climate models never anticipated another flake of snow.
But a new report produced by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, published on Tuesday in the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, shows that both cold and hot weather in 2012 were heavily under the influence of climate change.
Among the highlights, the United States had its warmest year since the country began keeping records in 1895. Colorado, Montana, Nebraska and Wyoming had their driest years on record. Last summer, delivered the biggest wildfires in thirteen years, including the largest fire in New Mexico’s history (more than 460 square miles, or about the size of the city of Los Angeles).
But even though the planet as a whole is getting warmer, the report makes it clear that there are new trends of weird and extreme weather in all seasons. For example, Hurricane Sandy sent record early-season snow to central Appalachia.
In Europe, “an exceptional cold spell” fell over several countries last year. Berlin’s cold snap was chillier than the typical Moscow winter, according to the World Meterological Organization. Norway set new record cold temperatures for February (about minus-four degrees Fahrenheit in Hammerfest, for instance).
The causes of Europe’s more frequent cold snaps weren’t fully understood until recently.New studiespublished a few months ago, revealed the reasons that climate change is sending more frigid polar air to Europe—because of a complex interaction between the jet stream and the amount of Arctic ice, which continues to shrink every year.
The tome-sized NOAA report is a reminder that the global climate is extremely complex, and climate trends can’t be easily simplified. But the planet is getting warmer, even while ski seasons in the western United States shorten and Europe gets more deep freezes.
Yes, this weather is crazy. And yes, it is our fault.
Frigid and Sweltering: The New Climate Normal | The Nation

Stephen Vavrus: Extreme Weather Is Man-Made

Humans have grown accustomed to the current climate, says Stephen Vavrus, a Senior Scientist with the Center for Climatic Research in Madison, Wisconsin. But the earth's delicate climate balance is now undergoing a radical, man-made transformation, and the changes will disrupt much in our world. Vavrus argues that we are now witnessing the immediate effects of climate change in the growing number of floods, droughts, snowstorms, heat waves and other unusual weather events going on around the world. According to Vavrus, scientists are convinced that extreme weather will continue to increase as climate change gets worse.
—Kevin Gosztola
Stephen Vavrus: Extreme Weather Is Man-Made | The Nation

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